1/18/2025 - KMCN

CURRENT WEATHER CONDITIONS:

Current temperature as of 3:15 PM is 61 F. Cloud conditions are clear with the past hour having largely moderate wind conditions. No rain in or near vicinity. There is rain currently over Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi moving eastward.

Forecast for January 18, 2025

A low of 44 F and a high of 60 F is expected, rain is expected with an accumulation of 0.25" - 0.50". Overcast skies with overall gentle wind conditions and occasional gusts can be expected throughout the day.

A low of 44 F can be expected during the overnight morning hours. Cloud conditions will keep conditions warm even into the evening hours with temperatures still being in the high 50's by day's end.

Rain is expected to move in during the morning hours as well due to an incoming low pressure system. Steady precipitation is expected to last until the late morning hours. Afterwards, rain can be expected to become more isolated with a hit or miss situation.

Overcast skies can be expected for the entire day.

Gentle winds are expected during the overnight hours. As the day continues the wind becomes more variable, oscillating between light - moderate conditions.

The location of the core of the low will determine what type of wind conditions are taking place at a given time.

FORECAST CHECK-IN: 

My Forecast: Low: 44 F, High: 60 F, Precipitation expected with accumulations between 0.25" - 0.50"

Actual Weather Conditions: Low: 44 F, High: 58 F, Precipitation: 0.81"

This forecast is a solid one, with the low being spot on, and the high being only 2 degrees off. This forecast also showcased that the MOS could still provide useful accuracies during precipitation events. The HRRR seems to provide accurate lows, but aims too "high" for the high.

My precipitation range did miss its mark however, with the GFS being the only model to correctly identify the range. The GFS seems to be very good at spotting patterns, but not specific temperatures.